Beyond the Brink: Escalation and Conflict in U.S.-China Economic Relations Goodman Matthew P.
Beyond the Brink: Escalation and Conflict in U.S.-China Economic Relations Goodman Matthew P. As the United States and China mark their 40th anniversary of formal diplomatic relations in 2019, the…
Specifikacia Beyond the Brink: Escalation and Conflict in U.S.-China Economic Relations Goodman Matthew P.
Beyond the Brink: Escalation and Conflict in U.S.-China Economic Relations Goodman Matthew P.
As the United States and China mark their 40th anniversary of formal diplomatic relations in 2019, the world's most important bilateral relationship is increasingly defined by mistrust, competition, and uncertainty. We drew on several different academic disciplines to help us model how an economic conflict between the United States and China could escalate and eventually de-escalate. After four decades of deepening economic integration, the talk in Washington today is about the extent to which the two economies will "decouple" over the years ahead.
The project produced several findings that were both unexpected and relevant to policy, including that economic conflict is likely to be an enduring feature of the U.S.-China Despite the challenges inherent in modelling economic conflict, our model was validated to a surprising extent by both our simulations and real-world developments.